Mortgage Consumer Confidence in Canada: 2026 CMHC Data

mortgage consumer confidence
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Speak with a licensed mortgage professional before making any mortgage decisions.

Quick Answer: Are Canadians Worried About Their Mortgage Payments in 2026?

Yes, many Canadians are worried about their mortgage payments, but the share has fallen. The CMHC 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey found that 39% of mortgage holders are worried about making their payments, down from 53% in 2025. The concern is concentrated among homeowners renewing their mortgages, who reported an average payment increase of about $375 per month. National mortgage arrears remain low by historical standards, so for most households the situation is widespread but manageable.
Quick Answer · key numbers
  1. 39% of mortgage holders are worried about payments in 2026, down 14 points from 53% in 2025.
  2. Renewers feel the most pressure, with payments up about $375 per month on average.
  3. National 90-day arrears sit near 0.24%, still low by historical standards.
  4. Acting 6 to 12 months before renewal typically gives you the most options.

You Opened Your Renewal Letter and Your Stomach Dropped

You opened the envelope, saw the new monthly number, and felt your chest tighten. Maybe you have watched your payment creep up on a variable rate and wondered whether you are the only one feeling stretched. You are not.

A large share of Canadian homeowners are asking the same quiet question right now: can I keep affording this? It is one of the most common worries in the country, and there is solid national data that puts your situation in context.

The good news hiding inside that data is that the worry is easing. More Canadians felt confident about their mortgages this year than last. This guide walks you through what the latest numbers say, helps you see where you fit, and lays out practical moves you can make calmly, often well before any payment is at risk.

39%of Canadian mortgage holders worried about payments in 2026, down from 53% in 2025
$375average monthly payment increase reported by renewers
0.24%national 90-day mortgage arrears, still low by historical standards

Quick Start: Pick Your Path

Not every reader is in the same spot. Use this quick guide to jump to what matters most for you.

Renewing in 12 months
Your payment may change the most. Read the renewer section and the step-by-step plan. Start with what homeowners need to know about renewal.
On a variable rate
A variable rate moves with your lender prime rate. Focus on the coping section and run your numbers before switching products.
First-time or aspiring buyer
The savings and confidence findings can show how your timeline compares to others.
Just researching
Read straight through. The numbers may reassure you. If a payment is already at risk, contact your lender today.

What the CMHC 2026 Survey Actually Found

The CMHC 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey found that 39% of Canadian mortgage holders are worried about making their payments, down from 53% in 2025. That 14-point drop signals improving confidence, even though many homeowners still feel real pressure from higher payments.

The CMHC Mortgage Consumer Survey is an annual national study, run since 1999, that measures how recent buyers, renewers, and refinancers feel about their mortgages. The 2026 edition, released in May, polled more than 4,100 Canadians who completed a mortgage in the previous 18 months.

The headline is a story of recovery, not crisis. The share of people worried about payments fell sharply, and most respondents said they feel well equipped to make mortgage decisions. You can read the full survey breakdown for the segment-by-segment detail.

Confidence is not uniform, though. Fewer Canadians now expect their home value to rise over the next year (68%, down from 74%), even as a large majority (81%) still call homeownership a good long-term investment.

Pegasus Mortgage Lending
Share of Canadians Worried About Their Mortgage Payments
Concerned about making mortgage payments, 2025 vs 2026 — CMHC Mortgage Consumer Survey
Source: CMHC 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey (released May 2026). The 2024 survey is omitted because it used a different question framing and is not directly comparable. Pegasus Mortgage Lending Center Inc. FSRA Lic # 11479

Where You Sit: Worry by Mortgage Situation

Your level of worry probably depends on which mortgage situation you are in, because the pressure is not spread evenly.

Renewers, whose mortgage term is ending and who must sign a new one, report the most strain. Recent buyers tend to feel steadier, having qualified at today’s rates from the start. Refinancers, who change their mortgage to access equity or better terms, sit somewhere in between. If your stress feels overwhelming rather than manageable, this guide on mortgage payment stress goes deeper.

Pegasus Mortgage Lending
Where You Sit: Worry Level by Mortgage Situation
How payment pressure differs by where you are in your mortgage journey — CMHC 2026 survey
Your situationTypical pressureWhat is driving itBest first step
Recent buyerLowerQualified at today’s rates from the start, so the payment is already priced in.Build a small payment buffer and review your renewal date.
RenewerHighestRenewing from roughly 2% toward about 4%; renewers report about $375 more per month.Shop the whole market 6 to 12 months before renewal.
RefinancerModerateAccessing equity or restructuring debt rather than facing a forced payment jump.Compare total cost over the term, not just the headline rate.
Source: CMHC 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey. Pressure levels are illustrative groupings based on survey findings. Pegasus Mortgage Lending Center Inc. FSRA Lic # 11479

Why Renewers Are Feeling the Most Pressure

Renewers feel the most pressure because many locked in record-low rates around 2020 and 2021 and are now renewing at meaningfully higher rates today. In the CMHC 2026 survey, renewers reported an average payment increase of about $375 per month, the steepest jump of any group.

Here is the math behind the stress. A homeowner who signed a fixed mortgage near 2% may now be renewing into a rate closer to 4%. Even with the same balance, the monthly payment can rise noticeably.

This is not a small group. Roughly 1.15 million Canadian mortgages are set to renew in 2026, most originally taken at ultra-low rates. That is a large part of why renewal worry shows up so strongly in the national mood.

One term worth knowing is the trigger rate. On a variable mortgage with fixed payments, the trigger rate is the point where your payment no longer covers the interest, and your lender may ask you to increase it. The most reliable way to see your real numbers is to run them. Use our mortgage payment calculator before you sign anything.

Your Step-by-Step Plan If You’re Worried About Payments

Worry feels lighter when it becomes a plan. Here is a calm, ordered roadmap you can follow, ideally 6 to 12 months before your renewal date.

  1. 1
    Open the letter earlyYour lender typically sends a renewal offer weeks before your term ends. Reading it early gives you time to act instead of react.
  2. 2
    Shop the whole marketA current lender’s first offer is rarely its best, and other lenders may price lower. A renewal is one of the easiest moments to switch.
  3. 3
    Ask how to lower the paymentExtending your amortization, the total time to pay off the loan, can reduce monthly payments, though it may cost more interest over time.
  4. 4
    Ask about the Canadian Mortgage CharterThis federal set of expectations describes relief measures lenders may offer borrowers at risk. It is not a guarantee, but it is worth raising.
  5. 5
    Talk to an independent brokerA broker compares many lenders at once and is typically paid by the lender, so the guidance is usually free to you. Here is why working with a broker helps when money is tight.

How Canadians Are Coping With Higher Payments

Worry is not the same as paralysis. The survey shows most Canadians are actively adjusting, which is part of why confidence improved.

Many are trimming non-mortgage spending first. In the 2026 survey, 31% of mortgage consumers said they have cut or plan to cut expenses like dining out, travel, and entertainment to protect their payments.

Others are reshaping their debt. If you carry higher-interest balances on credit cards or lines of credit, rolling them into your mortgage or a consolidation loan can lower your total monthly outflow. You can explore how to consolidate higher-interest debt and compare the math.

Pegasus Mortgage Lending
How Canadians Are Adjusting to Higher Payments
Selected 2026 survey findings, shown across different respondent groups — CMHC
Source: CMHC 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey. Each bar reflects a different group surveyed (all consumers, renewers, recent buyers) and the figures are not directly comparable. Pegasus Mortgage Lending Center Inc. FSRA Lic # 11479

Common Mistakes to Avoid Right Now

  • Signing the first renewal offer automatically. Auto-renewing without comparing is the most common and costly mistake. A few minutes of shopping can save thousands.
  • Assuming the stress test still blocks a switch. The mortgage stress test is an OSFI rule requiring you to qualify at the greater of your contract rate plus 2% or 5.25%. As of late 2024, uninsured borrowers switching lenders at renewal no longer need to requalify under it.
  • Ignoring the renewal letter until the deadline. Late action quietly removes your best options.
  • Focusing only on the rate. Penalties, prepayment terms, and flexibility can matter just as much.
  • Waiting until a payment is missed to ask for help. Lenders typically have more room to help before you fall behind, not after.
  • Forgetting the cost of debt outside the mortgage. High-interest balances often hurt more than the mortgage itself.

If that stress-test change surprised you, here is the detail on the change for uninsured switchers.

Where a Mortgage Broker Fits In

An independent mortgage broker compares offers across many lenders at once, including banks, credit unions, and trust companies, and is typically paid by the lender. That makes broker guidance especially valuable on complex files such as a tight renewal, a variable rate near its trigger point, or income that is hard to document.

When money feels tight, a second set of expert eyes can change the outcome. Because brokers are usually paid by the lender that funds your mortgage, their help is generally free to you, which matters most in exactly the situations that cause the most worry.

At Pegasus, Razi Khan, Founder and Mortgage Broker at Pegasus, has spent more than 20 years guiding Canadians through complex files, from first-time purchases to refinancing and alternative lending. The point of a broker is simple: more options, less guesswork, and a calmer path through a stressful moment.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are Canadians worried about their mortgage payments in 2026?

Yes, but less than before. The CMHC 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey found 39% of mortgage holders are worried about their payments, down from 53% in 2025. Nearly four in ten still feel concern, so if you are stressed, your situation is common and, for most households, manageable.

What percentage of Canadians are worried about their mortgage right now?

About 39% of Canadian mortgage holders said they are worried about making their payments, according to the CMHC survey released in May 2026. That is down from 53% the year before. The figure reflects recent buyers, renewers, and refinancers surveyed across the country.

Why are mortgage renewals causing so much stress this year?

Many homeowners locked in near record low rates around 2020 and 2021 and are now renewing at higher rates, often near 4%. Roughly 1.15 million mortgages renew in 2026. Even with the same balance, the new monthly payment can rise noticeably, which drives the worry.

How much are mortgage payments going up when people renew?

In the CMHC 2026 survey, renewers reported an average payment increase of about $375 per month. Your own change depends on your balance, rate, and amortization. Running your numbers through a payment calculator before you renew is the clearest way to see your real figure.

Is it normal to feel stressed about my mortgage?

Completely. Nearly four in ten Canadian mortgage holders share that worry, and renewers feel it most. National arrears remain low by historical standards, so feeling stretched does not mean you are failing. It usually means it is time to review your options early.

What should I do if I am worried I cannot afford my renewal?

Act early, ideally 6 to 12 months ahead. Read your renewal letter, compare offers across lenders, and ask about lowering your payment by extending amortization. A licensed professional can model your options. If a payment is already at risk, contact your lender right away.

Can a mortgage broker actually lower my monthly payment?

Often, yes. A broker compares many lenders at once and may find a lower rate or better terms than a bank first offer. They can also structure your amortization to reduce monthly payments. Because lenders typically pay the broker, this guidance is usually free to you.

What is the Canadian Mortgage Charter and can it help me?

The Canadian Mortgage Charter is a federal set of expectations describing relief measures lenders may offer borrowers at risk, such as temporary payment adjustments or extended amortization. It is not a guarantee, but you can ask your lender what options may apply to your situation.

Have a question not covered here? Browse our full mortgage FAQ.

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This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Speak with a licensed mortgage professional before making any mortgage decisions. Figures reflect the CMHC 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey as of May 2026 and may change. Pegasus Mortgage Lending Center Inc. FSRA Lic # 11479.
Razi Khan — Founder, CEO and Mortgage Broker at Pegasus Mortgage Lending

About the author

Razi Khan

Founder, CEO & Licensed Mortgage Broker · Pegasus Mortgage Lending · Toronto, Ontario · FSRA Lic # 11479

Razi Khan is the Founder, CEO, and a licensed Mortgage Broker at Pegasus Mortgage Lending Center Inc., based in Toronto. With over 20 years of experience in the Canadian mortgage industry, Razi has personally guided more than 3,000 clients through some of the most complex and high-stakes financial decisions of their lives — from first-time purchases in the GTA to refinancing strategies, alternative lending solutions, and cross-border mortgages for Canadians buying in the United States.

Razi founded Pegasus in October 2008, launching the brokerage at the height of a global financial crisis. He works across the full spectrum of borrower profiles, with particular expertise in complex files including self-employed borrowers, credit-challenged clients, and investors building multi-property portfolios.

Sources & References

  1. CMHC 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey (39% vs 53% worry, $375 renewer increase, 81%/68% confidence, 31% cutting expenses) — cmhc-schl.gc.ca
  2. CMHC Residential Mortgage Industry Report / Equifax Canada — national 90-day arrears about 0.24% in Q4 2025, below the roughly 0.28% pre-pandemic level — cmhc-schl.gc.ca
  3. CMHC — 2026 mortgage renewal wave analysis (about 1.15 million mortgages renewing) — cmhc-schl.gc.ca
  4. OSFI — B-20 stress test and late-2024 removal of requalification for uninsured switchers at renewal — osfi-bsif.gc.ca
  5. Government of Canada — Canadian Mortgage Charter — canada.ca