Latest news
31st March, 26
BBYS, Cybersecurity, AI Assistant Tools; Non-Agency News; STRATMOR on Owning Servicing
Appraisal methodology and analysis have changed over the years, and we’re about to undergo another major alteration with UAD 3.6. Some investors are ahead of the 11/2/26 curve. For example, Newrez is now accepting loans from clients who have adopted the Uniform Appraisal Dataset (UAD) 3.6 Appraisal and Forms Redesign and submitted via the Uniform Collateral Data Portal (UCDP) “for all conforming loans and non-QM loans (Smart Series). Government (FHA, VA, and USDA), JUMBO AUS and Closed-end seconds loans must continue using the UAD 2.6 appraisals.” This write up by AXIS AMC’s Mike
BBYS, Cybersecurity, AI Assistant Tools; Non-Agency News; STRATMOR on Owning Servicing
Appraisal methodology and analysis have changed over the years, and we’re about to undergo another major alteration with UAD 3.6. Some investors are ahead of the 11/2/26 curve. For example, Newrez is now accepting loans from clients who have adopted the Uniform Appraisal Dataset (UAD) 3.6 Appraisal and Forms Redesign and submitted via the Uniform Collateral Data Portal (UCDP) “for all conforming loans and non-QM loans (Smart Series). Government (FHA, VA, and USDA), JUMBO AUS and Closed-end seconds loans must continue using the UAD 2.6 appraisals.” This write up by AXIS AMC’s Mike
31st March, 26
War Headlines Help Bond Recovery Continue
The focal point of the overnight news cycle was a report that administration officials said Trump is willing to end the war even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Markets rallied nearly as much just before the open when Trump said the hard part is essentially done on the Iran war (and that other countries should just go take their own oil now, or buy it from the U.S.). The initial move took yields from 4.36 to 4.33 and the pre-open rally was 4.34 to 4.30--"moderate," but notable as it is happening on the day after an already big rally. War headlines remain in focus despite econ data
War Headlines Help Bond Recovery Continue
The focal point of the overnight news cycle was a report that administration officials said Trump is willing to end the war even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Markets rallied nearly as much just before the open when Trump said the hard part is essentially done on the Iran war (and that other countries should just go take their own oil now, or buy it from the U.S.). The initial move took yields from 4.36 to 4.33 and the pre-open rally was 4.34 to 4.30--"moderate," but notable as it is happening on the day after an already big rally. War headlines remain in focus despite econ data
30th March, 26
Mortgage Rates Drop Meaningfully Over The Weekend
The bad news is that the average top-tier 30yr fixed rate remains over 6.5% after being under 6% just a month ago. The good news is that rates recovered nicely over the weekend. By Friday afternoon, the average rate was 6.64%--the highest since August 2025--adding to a trend of rapid upward movement over the course of March. While there's no way to know if a bigger picture corner has been turned, it's a victory in the short term. Notably, the underlying bond market broke from its typical correlation with oil prices today. The latter has experienced severe volatility due to the Iran war,
Mortgage Rates Drop Meaningfully Over The Weekend
The bad news is that the average top-tier 30yr fixed rate remains over 6.5% after being under 6% just a month ago. The good news is that rates recovered nicely over the weekend. By Friday afternoon, the average rate was 6.64%--the highest since August 2025--adding to a trend of rapid upward movement over the course of March. While there's no way to know if a bigger picture corner has been turned, it's a victory in the short term. Notably, the underlying bond market broke from its typical correlation with oil prices today. The latter has experienced severe volatility due to the Iran war,
30th March, 26
AI/LOS, Commercial Products; USDA, FHA, VA Changes; Interviews with Lennar's Escobar and Vesta's Yu
Do you remember when everyone was talking about the lack of housing inventory as a problem for buyers? Those days are long gone: There are now nearly 50 percent more home sellers than buyers as mismatch widens to a record 630,000. (Of course this is depending on price point and location.) And what they’re selling isn’t necessarily new: Per the American Community Survey, it seems that the median owner-occupied house is about 43 years old. As anyone from the building profession will tell you, at any given time the 5 L’s (labor, lots, laws, lumber, and lending) can create problems. Some
AI/LOS, Commercial Products; USDA, FHA, VA Changes; Interviews with Lennar's Escobar and Vesta's Yu
Do you remember when everyone was talking about the lack of housing inventory as a problem for buyers? Those days are long gone: There are now nearly 50 percent more home sellers than buyers as mismatch widens to a record 630,000. (Of course this is depending on price point and location.) And what they’re selling isn’t necessarily new: Per the American Community Survey, it seems that the median owner-occupied house is about 43 years old. As anyone from the building profession will tell you, at any given time the 5 L’s (labor, lots, laws, lumber, and lending) can create problems. Some
30th March, 26
Bonds Mostly Finding Their Own Buyers
There are three distinct reasons that could account for bonds paradoxically rallying overnight despite oil prices remaining high and an absence of meaningful de-escalation in the Iran war. The most notable development has been the correction in Fed Funds Futures that began on Friday morning and extended modestly into this morning. Less objectively quantifiable but still likely enough for us to call it out last week was pre-weekend positioning. Specifically, it has made good sense for bonds to be defensive heading into a weekend and recover on Monday if there was no major escalation. Last but
Bonds Mostly Finding Their Own Buyers
There are three distinct reasons that could account for bonds paradoxically rallying overnight despite oil prices remaining high and an absence of meaningful de-escalation in the Iran war. The most notable development has been the correction in Fed Funds Futures that began on Friday morning and extended modestly into this morning. Less objectively quantifiable but still likely enough for us to call it out last week was pre-weekend positioning. Specifically, it has made good sense for bonds to be defensive heading into a weekend and recover on Monday if there was no major escalation. Last but
27th March, 26
Some Resilience After AM Weakness
Some Resilience After AM Weakness 10yr yields are set to end the week at the highest levels since last July, but those were even higher highs earlier this morning. From roughly 9am-1130am ET, bonds recovered all of the day's losses in a move that was led by adjustments to Fed rate hike expectations. Yes, we can/should call it that now because there are no longer any rate cut expectations based on futures trading. Instead, there's indecision about holding steady vs a small chance of rate hikes. War headlines remain the dominant focus and weekends continue to offer a higher
Some Resilience After AM Weakness
Some Resilience After AM Weakness 10yr yields are set to end the week at the highest levels since last July, but those were even higher highs earlier this morning. From roughly 9am-1130am ET, bonds recovered all of the day's losses in a move that was led by adjustments to Fed rate hike expectations. Yes, we can/should call it that now because there are no longer any rate cut expectations based on futures trading. Instead, there's indecision about holding steady vs a small chance of rate hikes. War headlines remain the dominant focus and weekends continue to offer a higher
27th March, 26
Mortgage Rates Inch Up to Another Long-Term High
There were mixed blessings in the mortgage rate world today. The bad news is that today's rates are just a bit higher than yesterday's, resulting in another 8 month high. The good news is that things were looking quite a bit worse earlier in the morning. Mortgage lenders prefer to set rates once per day even though those rates are dictated by movement in the underlying bond market. If bonds move enough, lenders will change rates mid-day. Today was one of those days and, fortunately, the change was in a friendly direction. Before the improvement, the average lender's top tier 30yr fixed
Mortgage Rates Inch Up to Another Long-Term High
There were mixed blessings in the mortgage rate world today. The bad news is that today's rates are just a bit higher than yesterday's, resulting in another 8 month high. The good news is that things were looking quite a bit worse earlier in the morning. Mortgage lenders prefer to set rates once per day even though those rates are dictated by movement in the underlying bond market. If bonds move enough, lenders will change rates mid-day. Today was one of those days and, fortunately, the change was in a friendly direction. Before the improvement, the average lender's top tier 30yr fixed
27th March, 26
No Surprise: Refi Demand Sapped by Rate Spike
Mortgage application activity declined for the second consecutive week as rising interest rates continued to weigh on demand. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a decrease of 10.5% on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending March 20. Both major components moved lower. The Refinance Index fell 15% from the previous week, though it remained 52% higher than the same week one year ago. Purchase activity also softened, with the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index declining 5% and running 5% above year-ago levels. According to MBA’s Joel Kan, persistently elevated
No Surprise: Refi Demand Sapped by Rate Spike
Mortgage application activity declined for the second consecutive week as rising interest rates continued to weigh on demand. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a decrease of 10.5% on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending March 20. Both major components moved lower. The Refinance Index fell 15% from the previous week, though it remained 52% higher than the same week one year ago. Purchase activity also softened, with the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index declining 5% and running 5% above year-ago levels. According to MBA’s Joel Kan, persistently elevated
27th March, 26
Verification, Non-QM Hedging Tools; Builder Trends That Impact LOs; Student Debt News; Automation and Processing
Products, Services, and Software for Brokers and Lenders Four Methods to Hedge Non-QM & Maximize Profits: In today’s growing non-QM market, selling best efforts is leaving value on the table. Accumulating bulk and improving execution is possible, but it involves taking price risk on the non-QM loans, and this requires hedging. A new technical brief evaluates four primary methodologies used by capital markets professionals: forward sales, correlated hedges, hedging to expected CPRs (i.e., prepayment profile), and hedging to a stochastic model. While forward sales offer direct risk
Verification, Non-QM Hedging Tools; Builder Trends That Impact LOs; Student Debt News; Automation and Processing
Products, Services, and Software for Brokers and Lenders Four Methods to Hedge Non-QM & Maximize Profits: In today’s growing non-QM market, selling best efforts is leaving value on the table. Accumulating bulk and improving execution is possible, but it involves taking price risk on the non-QM loans, and this requires hedging. A new technical brief evaluates four primary methodologies used by capital markets professionals: forward sales, correlated hedges, hedging to expected CPRs (i.e., prepayment profile), and hedging to a stochastic model. While forward sales offer direct risk
27th March, 26
Bonds Fade De-Escalation Hopes
Markets were presented with an opportunity just before the close yesterday to put their faith in another ceasefire-style announcement, but have instead opted to stick with prevailing momentum (lower stocks, higher yields and oil prices). Part of the reason is that rather than a true ceasefire, the announcement merely delayed a major escalation from this weekend by 10 days. In addition other escalations continue to add up based on overnight reports. Bonds (and stocks and oil) are now in a pattern of fading (a trading term akin to "calling the bluff of") ostensibly hopeful de-escalation
Bonds Fade De-Escalation Hopes
Markets were presented with an opportunity just before the close yesterday to put their faith in another ceasefire-style announcement, but have instead opted to stick with prevailing momentum (lower stocks, higher yields and oil prices). Part of the reason is that rather than a true ceasefire, the announcement merely delayed a major escalation from this weekend by 10 days. In addition other escalations continue to add up based on overnight reports. Bonds (and stocks and oil) are now in a pattern of fading (a trading term akin to "calling the bluff of") ostensibly hopeful de-escalation