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24th February, 26
Non-QM Pricing, Documentation, eSignature, AI Tools; Thoughts on New Starting Points for Borrowers
At the Optimal Blue Summit going on now, sessions range from AI to loan officer tools to market strategy, product unveilings built to transform pricing, trading, and profitability. Will AI help? A study published this month by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that among 6,000 CEOs, chief financial officers, and other executives from firms who responded to various business outlook surveys in the U.S., U.K., Germany, and Australia, the vast majority see little impact from AI on their operations. Speaking of which, today’s Mortgages With Millennials at 1PM ET, sponsored by
Non-QM Pricing, Documentation, eSignature, AI Tools; Thoughts on New Starting Points for Borrowers
At the Optimal Blue Summit going on now, sessions range from AI to loan officer tools to market strategy, product unveilings built to transform pricing, trading, and profitability. Will AI help? A study published this month by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that among 6,000 CEOs, chief financial officers, and other executives from firms who responded to various business outlook surveys in the U.S., U.K., Germany, and Australia, the vast majority see little impact from AI on their operations. Speaking of which, today’s Mortgages With Millennials at 1PM ET, sponsored by
24th February, 26
Slower Start, More Sideways. Stock Lever in Play
Volume and volatility is lower this morning compared to yesterday, but the same theme of risk aversion looks to be in play, probably. Why "probably?" Because the theme in question (risk aversion, or what we sometimes refer to as the "stock lever") oftentimes makes it hard to distinguish between correlation and causality. All we know so far today is that both stocks and bond yields are sightly higher from yesterday's lows and have been generally sideways so far today. The econ calendar remains light in terms of importance, despite plenty of line items
Slower Start, More Sideways. Stock Lever in Play
Volume and volatility is lower this morning compared to yesterday, but the same theme of risk aversion looks to be in play, probably. Why "probably?" Because the theme in question (risk aversion, or what we sometimes refer to as the "stock lever") oftentimes makes it hard to distinguish between correlation and causality. All we know so far today is that both stocks and bond yields are sightly higher from yesterday's lows and have been generally sideways so far today. The econ calendar remains light in terms of importance, despite plenty of line items
23rd February, 26
General Risk Aversion Trade Helping Bonds
General Risk Aversion Trade Helping Bonds Bonds began the day in just barely stronger territory but continued to improve throughout. The first rally followed the 8:20am CME open--a common time of day to see a bit of extra momentum and volume. The next leg of the rally played out in the 10am hour which is when stocks did all of their selling for the day. That dynamic lends itself to the conclusion that the broader market is trading in a "risk-off" pattern amid global trade uncertainty. Econ Data / Events Factory Orders -0.7 vs -0.5 f'cast, 2.7 prev Market Movement Recap 09:52 AM Modestly
General Risk Aversion Trade Helping Bonds
General Risk Aversion Trade Helping Bonds Bonds began the day in just barely stronger territory but continued to improve throughout. The first rally followed the 8:20am CME open--a common time of day to see a bit of extra momentum and volume. The next leg of the rally played out in the 10am hour which is when stocks did all of their selling for the day. That dynamic lends itself to the conclusion that the broader market is trading in a "risk-off" pattern amid global trade uncertainty. Econ Data / Events Factory Orders -0.7 vs -0.5 f'cast, 2.7 prev Market Movement Recap 09:52 AM Modestly
23rd February, 26
Mortgage Rates Dip Back Into The 5's
This coverage is coming out earlier than normal due to a more interesting headline than normal. The average top-tier 30yr fixed rate fell back to 5.99% today, matching the levels seen only briefly back on January 9th, 2026 when the Fannie/Freddie bond buying plans were announced. Much like the last time, there's always a risk that something happens to prompt a bond market reversal today. If that happens, mortgage lenders could raise rates in the middle of the day. But unlike last time, mortgage rates have eased down to current levels in a much more gradual and--dare we say--sustainable
Mortgage Rates Dip Back Into The 5's
This coverage is coming out earlier than normal due to a more interesting headline than normal. The average top-tier 30yr fixed rate fell back to 5.99% today, matching the levels seen only briefly back on January 9th, 2026 when the Fannie/Freddie bond buying plans were announced. Much like the last time, there's always a risk that something happens to prompt a bond market reversal today. If that happens, mortgage lenders could raise rates in the middle of the day. But unlike last time, mortgage rates have eased down to current levels in a much more gradual and--dare we say--sustainable
23rd February, 26
DSCR, BI, Retention, Processing Tools; Correspondent and Wholesaler News; UAD 3.6 Interview
Products, Services, and Software for Brokers and Lenders When every basis point counts and staffing doesn’t magically scale with volume, servicers need automation that works as hard as they do. That’s exactly how Dark Matter Technologies delivers Elevate, a loan servicing solution designed for real-world operators who need more than a system that simply “generates reports.” Elevate automates scheduling, file delivery, and interim servicing workflows, reducing operational strain and helping teams manage more loans without adding headcount. With nearly four decades of servicing
DSCR, BI, Retention, Processing Tools; Correspondent and Wholesaler News; UAD 3.6 Interview
Products, Services, and Software for Brokers and Lenders When every basis point counts and staffing doesn’t magically scale with volume, servicers need automation that works as hard as they do. That’s exactly how Dark Matter Technologies delivers Elevate, a loan servicing solution designed for real-world operators who need more than a system that simply “generates reports.” Elevate automates scheduling, file delivery, and interim servicing workflows, reducing operational strain and helping teams manage more loans without adding headcount. With nearly four decades of servicing
23rd February, 26
Stronger Start. Quiet Calendar
Bonds are starting the new week in slightly stronger territory, but still well inside the prevailing trading range. There were no standout market movers over the weekend although tariff and trade-related uncertainty may be generally weighing on investor sentiment to some small extent. The econ calendar is very quiet throughout the week with Friday's PPI being the most relevant report (and that's not saying much). This leaves markets more susceptible to trade and geopolitical headlines, but big moves would require big surprises.
Stronger Start. Quiet Calendar
Bonds are starting the new week in slightly stronger territory, but still well inside the prevailing trading range. There were no standout market movers over the weekend although tariff and trade-related uncertainty may be generally weighing on investor sentiment to some small extent. The econ calendar is very quiet throughout the week with Friday's PPI being the most relevant report (and that's not saying much). This leaves markets more susceptible to trade and geopolitical headlines, but big moves would require big surprises.
20th February, 26
Tariff Ruling Tried (And Failed) to Steal The Show
Tariff Ruling Tried (And Failed) to Steal The Show If you were told ahead of time that Friday morning would bring news that the Supreme Court struck down the IEEPA tariffs, you wouldn't be crazy to think it would be the week's biggest news and a big potential source of volatility for bonds. But reality wasn't quite as dramatic. It's true that the tariff ruling garnered the week's highest volume as well as some elevated directional volatility, but in outright terms, it was less than 3bps in 10yr yields and about half of that was recovered as the day progressed. Reasons and implications are
Tariff Ruling Tried (And Failed) to Steal The Show
Tariff Ruling Tried (And Failed) to Steal The Show If you were told ahead of time that Friday morning would bring news that the Supreme Court struck down the IEEPA tariffs, you wouldn't be crazy to think it would be the week's biggest news and a big potential source of volatility for bonds. But reality wasn't quite as dramatic. It's true that the tariff ruling garnered the week's highest volume as well as some elevated directional volatility, but in outright terms, it was less than 3bps in 10yr yields and about half of that was recovered as the day progressed. Reasons and implications are
20th February, 26
Mortgage Rates End Week at Lows
Bonds dictate mortgage rates and bonds experienced a bit of volatility this morning in response to the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs. The initial impact was negative for rates with Treasury yields moving higher and the prices for mortgage-backed securities moving lower. But the reaction was well-contained and bonds ended up erasing most of it by the afternoon. In addition, bonds had improved steadily yesterday, but not so quickly that mortgage lenders updated yesterday's rate offerings. As such, the average lender had a small cushion to work with today, and it was more than enough to offset
Mortgage Rates End Week at Lows
Bonds dictate mortgage rates and bonds experienced a bit of volatility this morning in response to the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs. The initial impact was negative for rates with Treasury yields moving higher and the prices for mortgage-backed securities moving lower. But the reaction was well-contained and bonds ended up erasing most of it by the afternoon. In addition, bonds had improved steadily yesterday, but not so quickly that mortgage lenders updated yesterday's rate offerings. As such, the average lender had a small cushion to work with today, and it was more than enough to offset
20th February, 26
New Home Sales Remain Near Recent Highs
If there's one housing market metric that paints a brighter picture than the rest, it's New Home Sales data from the Census Bureau. At 745,000, it eased slightly from an upwardly-revised annual rate of 758,000 , but was higher then the pre-revision reading of 737k, and 3.8% above December 2024’s 718,000. Fairly chunky revisions are par for the course with this data. The chart below shows pre-revision numbers (thus the slight uptick with the current release). For-sale inventory fell to 472,000 , down 2.7% from November and 3.5% lower than a year ago. At the current sales pace, that represents
New Home Sales Remain Near Recent Highs
If there's one housing market metric that paints a brighter picture than the rest, it's New Home Sales data from the Census Bureau. At 745,000, it eased slightly from an upwardly-revised annual rate of 758,000 , but was higher then the pre-revision reading of 737k, and 3.8% above December 2024’s 718,000. Fairly chunky revisions are par for the course with this data. The chart below shows pre-revision numbers (thus the slight uptick with the current release). For-sale inventory fell to 472,000 , down 2.7% from November and 3.5% lower than a year ago. At the current sales pace, that represents
20th February, 26
Pending Sales Dip as Affordability Gains Fail to Spark Demand
The National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) slipped modestly in January, easily prolonging its stay in a narrow range near all-time lows. Pending home sales decreased 0.8% month over month and were down 0.4% compared with the same time last year. While affordability conditions have improved somewhat as mortgage rates trend closer to 6%, the improvement has failed to bolster contract activity. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted that lower rates have expanded the pool of mortgage-eligible households, potentially adding hundreds of thousands of new buyers this year
Pending Sales Dip as Affordability Gains Fail to Spark Demand
The National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) slipped modestly in January, easily prolonging its stay in a narrow range near all-time lows. Pending home sales decreased 0.8% month over month and were down 0.4% compared with the same time last year. While affordability conditions have improved somewhat as mortgage rates trend closer to 6%, the improvement has failed to bolster contract activity. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted that lower rates have expanded the pool of mortgage-eligible households, potentially adding hundreds of thousands of new buyers this year