Are Rents Going Down in Canada? 2026 Reality Check

are rents going down in Canada
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Speak with a licensed mortgage professional before making any mortgage decisions.

Quick answer

Quick answer
  1. Yes — asking rents in Canada have cooled from their late-2024 peak, with the biggest pullback in Toronto and Vancouver condos and the smallest change in Calgary.
  2. As of mid-2026, national average asking rent is running below its peak but is still above pre-2022 levels.
  3. Cooling asking rents mostly affect new leases; existing tenants under provincial rent guidelines see little change.
  4. For would-be buyers, softer rents narrow the rent-vs-own gap in some cities.
  5. For small investors, thinner cash flow raises the bar for mortgage approval.

Why this question matters right now

For most of 2022, 2023 and 2024, the national rent story only moved one way: up. Asking rents on new listings set fresh records almost every quarter, and tenants renewing leases braced for annual increases at the top of what provincial rules allowed.

That has shifted. Recent commentary from Rentals.ca and Urbanation shows asking rents have pulled back from their late-2024 peak in most large Canadian markets, with condo-heavy cities leading the softening. Tenants are refreshing rent trackers to see if their next lease can come in below the last one. Small investors — many of whom bought pre-construction condos years ago — are running fresh numbers to see if the cash flow still works.

Both questions matter, and they don’t have the same answer. This is part of a new phase of the Canadian housing market, and it deserves a plain-English read.

~8%Toronto asking rents from late-2024 peak (illustrative)
1.10–1.20DCR most lenders apply to rental income
5.25%OSFI B-20 stress test floor rate
50+Lenders Pegasus can shop for you

Quick start: pick your path

Depending on where you sit, the parts of this article that matter most are different. Use this as your shortcut.

If you rent, or want to buy
  • Read what’s happening with rents to see the size of the pullback.
  • Read the rent-vs-buy section to weigh softer rents against owning.
  • Try our affordability calculator.
If you own or want to own a rental
  • Read the city snapshot to see how your market moved.
  • Read the landlord section to see how cooling rents affect qualifying.
  • Use the roadmap to pressure-test the deal at today’s rent.

What’s actually happening with Canadian rents

Direct answer: Asking rents in Canada have cooled from their late-2024 peak in most major markets, driven mainly by higher vacancy rates as new purpose-built rental supply comes online. In-place rents — what current tenants already pay — move separately, under each province’s guideline increase rules, so they have not softened in the same way.

Two different rent numbers get thrown around, and confusing them is the fastest way to draw the wrong conclusion. Asking rent is the price a landlord advertises for a new lease. In-place rent is what tenants already living in the unit pay, and in most provinces it can only rise by a set percentage each year under a rent-guideline framework.

Asking rents are the number that has cooled. Recent commentary attributes the pullback mainly to a rising vacancy rate — landlords compete harder for tenants when more units sit empty — and to new purpose-built rental supply finally hitting the market after years of construction. In-place rents have not fallen because guideline increases only move in one direction, upward, though slower.

That is exactly why you can read “rents are down” in one report and “my rent went up 2.5%” in your renewal notice the same week. For more on how provincial rules shape this, see how provincial rent control actually works.

Change in average asking rent from 2024 peak

Five major Canadian cities · illustrative only — not a forecast

Source: Rentals.ca National Rent Report and Urbanation commentary. Values are illustrative and may not reflect current published figures.

City-by-city snapshot

Direct answer: The rent pullback is uneven across Canada. Toronto and Vancouver condos have shown the largest declines from peak, Ottawa and Montreal have softened modestly, and Calgary rents remain roughly flat or slightly higher than a year ago as strong interprovincial migration keeps demand elevated.

Toronto has shown the largest pullback, concentrated in the condo segment. A wave of investor-owned condos completed in 2024 and 2025 hit the rental market at the same time smaller units lost popularity with tenants working hybrid schedules. Vancouver has followed a similar path, with condo asking rents down from the peak while purpose-built rental listings have held up slightly better. Ottawa and Montreal have softened but less dramatically, both because supply additions were smaller and because rent-control regimes constrain price signals more tightly. Calgary is the outlier. Strong interprovincial migration, a growing job market, and less new rental supply have kept Calgary rents roughly flat. For a broader read, see our city-by-city read on the 2026 housing market.

Note on Quebec: real estate transactions in Quebec require a notary (notaire), and provincial sales tax matters fall under Revenu Québec.

What cooling rents mean if you rent (or want to buy)

Direct answer: Softer asking rents can narrow the rent-vs-buy gap in cities where the pullback has been meaningful, but they do not close it in most large Canadian markets, because mortgage payments, property tax, condo fees, and the federal stress test all still apply on the ownership side.

If you’re renting today and thinking about buying, cooler rents change the math but rarely flip it. In Toronto or Vancouver, the monthly cost of owning a starter condo has typically stayed above the cost of renting a similar unit even after asking rents softened, once you add property tax, condo fees, and a mortgage payment at current rates.

In cities with smaller price gaps between renting and owning, the softer rent number matters more — but so does your total qualifying picture. Every Canadian buyer today has to pass the federal stress test, which qualifies your mortgage at the greater of contract rate plus 2% or 5.25%. Cooling rents don’t lower that hurdle. For the current rate landscape, see where fixed and variable rates are sitting.

Monthly rent vs. estimated ownership cost — 1-bedroom condo

Illustrative snapshot · rent vs. mortgage payment + property tax + condo fees. Not a forecast.

CityAvg rent (1-bed)Est. own costMonthly delta
Toronto$2,300$3,150+$850
Vancouver$2,450$3,400+$950
Ottawa$1,900$2,300+$400
Montreal$1,650$1,950+$300
Calgary$1,700$2,050+$350

Sources: Rentals.ca (avg 1-bed asking rent), CREA MLS HPI (benchmark condo price), Pegasus Lending rate-details page. Values illustrative only.

What cooling rents mean for landlords and investors

Direct answer: Cooler asking rents can push a marginal rental-property mortgage file offside because lenders typically apply a Debt Coverage Ratio, or DCR, of about 1.10 to 1.20 to the rental income. Softer rent lowers the covered income, which lowers the mortgage amount a lender will approve, even if nothing else about the deal has changed.

Most Canadian lenders apply a Debt Coverage Ratio, or DCR, to a rental-property file. In plain English, they want the rental income to cover more than the mortgage payment — usually 1.10 to 1.20 times the payment, depending on the lender and the property type. When asking rents cool by 5% to 8%, the covered income drops with them, and a file that qualified twelve months ago at peak rent may not qualify today at the same purchase price.

The federal stress test still applies too, at the greater of contract rate plus 2% or 5.25%. Together, those two rules mean the qualifying bar is higher than the payment you’d actually make. See using rental income to qualify for a mortgage and the OSFI rules for investor mortgages for the full mechanics.

Complex investor files often need lender optionality that a single bank can’t provide. Razi Khan, Founder and Mortgage Broker at Pegasus, works with more than fifty lenders — banks, credit unions, monoline lenders and alternative sources — which matters when a rental deal is on the margin.

Illustrative investor cash flow at three rent levels — one Toronto condo

Rent income vs. lender DCR 1.10 threshold · illustrative only — not a forecast

Illustrative Pegasus underwriting example. Assumes $2,500 monthly mortgage payment at the qualifying rate; DCR line = $2,750 (1.10 × payment).

A step-by-step roadmap for both readers

Whether you rent or invest, the process is the same shape: check the current number, run your own math, and get a pre-approval so you know what you can actually do.

  1. 1
    Check current asking rent for your city and unit type.Don’t rely on the national average — pullbacks are uneven and concentrated in condos.
  2. 2
    Run your ownership numbers (or your investor pro forma) at today’s rent.Include property tax and condo fees on the buyer side; use current asking rent, not the peak, on the investor side.
  3. 3
    Confirm you clear the qualifying bar.Every buyer passes the stress test at the greater of contract rate plus 2% or 5.25%; investors also need to clear the lender’s DCR at 1.10 to 1.20.
  4. 4
    Get a pre-approval to lock in what you can actually borrow.It’s free, non-binding, and tells you exactly where you stand — you can get an instant pre-approval certificate online in a few minutes.

Common mistakes to avoid

A few recurring pitfalls are worth naming before you make a rent decision, a rental purchase, or a refinance.

  • Reading the national average and assuming your city or unit type moved the same amount. The pullback is uneven and concentrated in condos.
  • Confusing asking rent, which is advertised on new listings, with in-place rent, which is what current tenants pay under provincial guidelines.
  • Waiting for rents to fall further before signing a lease and losing your preferred unit to another applicant.
  • Assuming softer rent alone changes your mortgage qualifying picture. The stress test still applies at the greater of contract rate plus 2% or 5.25%.
  • Buying a rental property using peak-rent numbers in the pro forma instead of re-underwriting at today’s asking rent.
  • Ignoring the lender’s Debt Coverage Ratio. Most lenders want rental income to cover 1.10 to 1.20 times the mortgage payment.

For more on how the condo investor picture has shifted, see why the Toronto condo market cooled.

Frequently asked questions

Are rents actually going down in Canada right now, or is it just headlines?

Asking rents on new listings have cooled from their late-2024 peak in most large Canadian markets. In-place rents still move up under provincial guideline increases, which is why the headline and your renewal notice can point in different directions the same week.

How much have asking rents fallen from the peak in Toronto and Vancouver?

Recent commentary shows the biggest pullback in the condo segment, with Toronto and Vancouver condo asking rents down meaningfully from their late-2024 highs. Exact percentages vary by source and by unit type, and purpose-built rentals have held up better than investor-owned condos.

If I already have a lease, will my rent go down too?

Typically no. In-place rents are governed by provincial guideline increases and rarely move down, even when advertised asking rents cool. Your renewal will usually rise at the guideline amount unless your landlord chooses otherwise.

Is it a good time to buy a rental condo if rents are cooling?

It depends on the specific deal. Softer rents can lower the mortgage a lender will approve because of the Debt Coverage Ratio, so re-underwrite at current rent before committing.

Does cooling rent make it easier to qualify for a mortgage?

Not on its own. The federal stress test — the greater of contract rate plus 2% or 5.25% — still applies. Cooling rent can help affordability if you plan to keep renting while saving, but it does not change the qualifying rule.

Which Canadian city has the biggest rent decrease in 2026?

Toronto has generally shown the largest pullback from peak asking rents, driven by a large wave of new condo completions. Vancouver has followed a similar pattern. Calgary has been the notable outlier, with rents roughly flat or slightly higher.

Should I keep renting or buy now that rents have softened?

There is no universal answer. Softer rents narrow the rent-vs-own gap in some cities but do not close it in the largest markets once property tax, condo fees, and mortgage costs are added. A pre-approval and a clear look at your timeline usually decide the question better than a rent print.

Get a clear read on your numbers

Cooling rents mean different things for tenants and small investors. Whether you’re weighing rent-vs-buy or pressure-testing a rental deal, the useful next step is the same — get a clear read on what you can borrow at today’s rates.

Get an instant pre-approval certificate
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Speak with a licensed mortgage professional before making any mortgage decisions. Pegasus Mortgage Lending Center Inc. — FSRA Lic. #11479.
Razi Khan — Founder, CEO and Mortgage Broker at Pegasus Mortgage Lending

About the author

Razi Khan

Founder, CEO & Licensed Mortgage Broker · Pegasus Mortgage Lending · Toronto, Ontario · FSRA Lic # 11479

Razi Khan is the Founder, CEO, and a licensed Mortgage Broker at Pegasus Mortgage Lending Center Inc., based in Toronto. With over 20 years of experience in the Canadian mortgage industry, Razi has personally guided more than 3,000 clients through some of the most complex and high-stakes financial decisions of their lives — from first-time purchases in the GTA to refinancing strategies, alternative lending solutions, and cross-border mortgages for Canadians buying in the United States.

Razi founded Pegasus in October 2008, launching the brokerage at the height of a global financial crisis. He works across the full spectrum of borrower profiles, with particular expertise in complex files including self-employed borrowers, credit-challenged clients, and investors building multi-property portfolios.

Sources & references

  • Rentals.ca National Rent Report — https://rentals.ca/national-rent-report
  • Urbanation Quarterly Rental Market Commentary — https://www.urbanation.ca
  • Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) Rental Market Report — https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca
  • Statistics Canada — housing and rental data — https://www.statcan.gc.ca
  • Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI), Guideline B-20 — https://www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca
  • Financial Services Regulatory Authority of Ontario (FSRA) — https://www.fsrao.ca
  • Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) MLS Home Price Index — https://www.crea.ca